The Wall Street Journal reported that CEO turnover is on the rise (Wall Street Journal, January 13, 2009, Joann S. Lublin, page B1). Dirk Jenter, an assistant finance professor at Stamford University’s business school noted that turnover “doubles in bad times.” That means over 100 CEOs from the S&P 500 had better start polishing their resumes.
In truth, most of these changes are late. Boards have failed to take action on the most important “who” decision they must make: selecting CEOs. For example, how can GM’s board have allowed Rick Wagoner to remain in place after the company’s stock has fallen 94% since he took over in 2000? How can they support him when the company is relying on taxpayer money to recover and yet is already behind on its commitments? It hasn’t made sense to shareholders for eight years, and now taxpayers will feel the pain.
The who matters, and there is no greater who than the CEO. Boards must take a hard look at the people they have in place and ask themselves with all seriousness, “Do we believe this person has at least a 90% chance or better of succeeding?” If the answer is anything short of a resounding “yes,” it is time for a change.
Making a change is a big deal, and here’s where boards fall short again. In our experience, most selection committees rely on voodoo hiring methods to pick their next CEO. They create long wish lists that no single person could embody. They draft candidates from good-old-boy networks and insider short lists. They evaluate their finalists using informal interviews and make a decision based on gut feel. And in the end, they forget to sell their finalist on joining, often forcing them to start all over when the candidate backs out in the final hour. It is time for boards to stop relying on these sloppy approaches.
There is a better way: an approach we call the A Method for Hiring that we have watched succeed over 10,000 times. To clarify the mission and role, create a scorecard that lays out the specific outcomes you expect the new CEO to achieve. To find great candidates, network aggressively, especially outside of the industry. To pick the right person, use a chronological, structured interview to truly get to know the candidate, and then go back and rate the scorecard to see if you have a fit. To sell the person on joining, focus on the factors that matter: fit, family, freedom, fortune, and fun.
The right CEO can rescue a troubled company and create enormous shareholder value. The wrong one can drive the company straight into Chapter 11. We call on all boards to select and back CEOs who will help pull our economy out of the rut.
